Linesetter
Prediction market infrastructure

The infrastructure layer for prediction markets.

Linesetter gives new and growing exchanges the building blocks to run a market end to end: creation, settlement, audit, liquidity, and the data underneath. Adopt the whole stack or just the piece you're missing.

Agentic market-making engine
KXFED-26JUL · Will the Fed cut rates at the July 2026 meeting?
Agent fair value
42¢
confidence 55%
BID · buy YES×505
39¢
ASK · sell YES×505
45¢
Spread
5.2¢
Inventory
0
flat
Regime
Active
Signals the agent is weighing
News & headline flow
Order-flow imbalance
Cross-market consensus
Macro priors
Agent decision log
  • initEngine online. Seeding two-sided liquidity at fair value.
  • initPriors loaded from base rates + futures-implied path.
  • initRisk limits armed: max inventory 2,000 · stop at -$3,000.
$8.4B
Traded volume
est. dollars, trailing 30 days
1,341
Markets mapped
12 categories
644
Settlement sources
classified by access
97.3%
Free-to-read volume
publicly verifiable

We pressure-tested Linesetter against a month of live prediction markets, so source recommendations and readiness scores reflect how markets actually settle, not guesses.

Volume is estimated dollars traded (contracts x trade price), not $1 notional. Excludes 3 parlay-permutation series (13,384,384 auto-generated combination markets, $10B notional but only $323M actually traded) tracked separately.

The platform

Modular infrastructure for every market

These are the modules teams reach for first, but the platform spans the whole market lifecycle. Take the full stack or a single component; if a market needs infrastructure we haven't listed, we build it.

Whatever your market needs next

Source intelligence, pricing & oracle feeds, risk and position limits, compliance and reporting, distribution and embeddable markets. If a market needs it, we'll build it.

Tell us what you need →
Source intelligencePricing & oracle feedsRisk & limitsCompliance & reportingDistribution & embedsCustom market types
How it works

From question to signed settlement

01
Define

Specify the question, structure, and close time. We draft resolution rules from category-tested templates.

02
Source

We propose settlement sources ranked by real precedent, each flagged for access, reliability, and automatability.

03
Settle

At expiration we observe the source, cross-check across redundant feeds, and compute the outcome.

04
Audit

A signed, human-readable audit log explains exactly how the market resolved, for traders and regulators.

Settlement source intelligence

Know how every category settles

We mapped which sources real markets resolve against, and whether each is free to read, metered, or paywalled. It's the data behind every recommendation.

Sports
$6.4B
526 series·222,943 markets·31% YES
446 free-only36 mixed44 paid
Crypto
$1.8B
45 series·873,890 markets·25% YES
45 free-only
Mentions
$52M
81 series·7,819 markets·43% YES
8 free-only19 mixed54 paid
Climate and Weather
$49M
60 series·20,209 markets·39% YES
57 free-only3 mixed
Elections
$35M
154 series·1,803 markets·22% YES
113 free-only20 mixed21 paid
Economics
$28M
120 series·3,428 markets·49% YES
38 free-only69 mixed13 paid
Case study

Mentions markets: settling the unstructured

How “will they say it?” markets resolve off live broadcast feeds and official channels, and what that means for automated settlement.

Read the deep dive →
Get started

Launch your next market on Linesetter

We're onboarding a first cohort of exchanges and operators. Tell us what you're building and we'll set you up with sandbox credentials.

  • API-first market creation & settlement
  • Source recommendations from real precedent
  • Signed, human-readable audit logs
  • Optional automated market making

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